Energy and ambition
Computing needs physical infrastructure. The story asks who gets to build it, and who lives with the consequences.
A LITTLE COMPANY FOR THE JOURNEY
Keep track of the people. Think a little further.
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01 / THE PEOPLE
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02 / THE SCIENCE
This is a novel, not a prediction.
Its future begins with real questions about how fast AI can improve itself, the electricity it needs, and the evidence behind extraordinary claims.
Computing needs physical infrastructure. The story asks who gets to build it, and who lives with the consequences.
An unexplained observation is a reason to investigate. It is not yet an answer. The book’s scientific mystery starts from that distinction.
Full-book spoilers. "Established" below describes a physical principle or observed result. "Extrapolation" names a possibility that still depends on assumptions. "Invention" identifies this novel's particular people, devices, chronology and discoveries. A real principle does not make the invented future a forecast.
Established / observed. METR has measured the length of software tasks AI agents can complete; it found that length doubling about every seven months since 2019. [1]
Extrapolation. Scenarios such as AI 2027 project this trend into self-improving AI within a few years. Critics, and later the authors themselves, put the likeliest date further out. The novel takes the fast branch on purpose. [2]
Invention. Auric, its model generations, the closing of its training loop in January 2030 and every date in the takeoff belong to the story.
Established / observed. The International Energy Agency estimates data-center electricity use at about 485 terawatt-hours in 2025 and projects roughly 950 by 2030, limited by power, equipment and permits. In July 2026, at 117°F, Phoenix's two big utilities each set peak-demand records near their planned summer capacity. [3–4]
Invention. Sonoran Power, Redfield, Casaverde's second life and the 2033 blackout decisions are fictional.
Established. A thin collector close to the Sun intercepts a great deal of energy for its mass. Whether a swarm of them dims or warms Earth depends on where it orbits, so dimming is a choice. [5]
Extrapolation. Self-copying factories on Mercury, launch every day and a swarm that outgrows human civilization within years all depend on assumptions about robotics and manufacturing that no one has tested.
Invention. The shadow band, the 1% shading cap and the bright cone after dusk are the novel's choices.
Established. Energy a collector absorbs must eventually leave as heat, so a star wrapped in collectors should glow in infrared. An infrared excess is a measurement to explain, not a diagnosis of a civilization.
Extrapolation and active investigation. Project Hephaistos reported seven candidate stars in 2024. In July 2026, James Webb observations showed that two candidates' excess light came from background galaxies. Contamination checks and independent observations matter for exactly this reason. [6–7]
Invention. IS-2, Ruth's recordings, the Hollis rule and the star that went dark are fictional. The real candidate list does not support them.
Established. The International Academy of Astronautics' 2026 declaration asks for independent confirmation and open announcement, and says no reply should be sent until international consultations have taken place. [8]
Invention. The Custodian Charter, Article 11 and Mateo's annotation are the novel's answer to that question, not anyone's policy.
A calculation within the fiction. IS-2 is 124 light-years away. Light received in 2014 left it around 1890. A window sent in 2081 arrives around 2205, and no answer can come back before about 2329. Everything the characters see from IS-2 was sent before IS-2 could have heard us, which is why the napkin in Chapter 32 frightens Mateo.
The novel's assumption. Rejuvenation therapy that keeps a seventy-year-old looking forty-eight is speculative. Its consent contract is the story's real subject: an agreement that can be revised without asking the patient again.
Sources checked October 2026. Each link supports the corresponding factual background above. None endorses the novel or its imagined chronology. The book's own "Selected sources" lists more.
[1] Thomas Kwa, Ben West, Joel Becker, Amy Deng and colleagues (METR). Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks (2025). Read the preprint.
[2] Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland and Romeo Dean. AI 2027. AI Futures Project (2025). Read the scenario.
[3] International Energy Agency. Key Questions on Energy and AI, executive summary (2026). Read the report.
[4] Greg Hahne, KJZZ. APS, SRP saw peak demand records as both neared planned power capacity for the summer (29 July 2026). Read the report.
[5] Ian Marius Peters. The photovoltaic Dyson sphere. Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells 286 (2025). Read the publication record.
[6] Matías Suazo and colleagues. Project Hephaistos - II. Dyson sphere candidates from Gaia DR3, 2MASS, and WISE (2024). Read the paper.
[7] Erik Zackrisson and colleagues. Project Hephaistos - IV. James Webb Space Telescope Observations of Two Dyson Sphere Candidates (July 2026 preprint). Read the paper.
[8] International Academy of Astronautics SETI Committee. Declaration of Principles Concerning the Conduct of the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence (2026 update). Read the declaration.
03 / FOR YOUR READING GROUP
These questions discuss the opening sample: the prologue and Chapters 1–3. Read the sample first.
For a one-hour group: let everyone name one image they kept, choose any three questions, then finish by asking which character another reader understood differently. Disagreement is useful; there is no answer key.
The companion PDF contains full-book spoilers after the opening questions.
Download the companion